Drift Table Analysis for Debris
Sources: U.S. State Dept., Australian Transportation Safety Board
Indian Ocean Currents. In the larger map below, observe the drift pattern in the main Indian Ocean Gyre that circulates counter-clockwise between western Australia and eastern Africa, primarily south of 15 degrees below the Equator. This is how authorities propose debris reached Africa. Compare with the map at right, showing comparable estimations for a proposed (Lemma 3) crash off western Maldives en route to Africa. I have shown in red a rough order of magnitude of proposed stairsteps in currents from the northern counter-gyre into the southern main gyre. My guess is the the time frames involved would be comparable, making either Lemma 2 (official) or Lemma 3 (my theory) equally plausible.
Lemma 3 Assumptions. Remember that, under Lemma 3, MH370 was already flying low and in trouble when seen by reliable witnesses in the Maldives (south of India) heading west toward Africa. Indications are the plane entered the ocean at relatively low airspeed, which sheered off the wings and possibly other externals but the fuselage sank mostly intact in situ. This explains why primarily wing or door debris have been found on or near African shores. The drift studies show currents leading to multiple African areas including Reunion, Mozambique, and the like. If authorities had searched west of Madagascar, and if Lemma 3 is the correct solution, then the craft lies on the abyssal plain south of Arabia. Not a shred of evidence has been found anywhere west of Australia, which casts grave doubt on official theories that are stubbornly held but have zero results.
Added Note For Penang Deviation on Main Page. (Relevant to the information that MH370 performed an enigmatic but clear and sharp deviation in flight path around Penang after its presumed hijack). I have noted the apparent, enigmatic, but important deviation in flight path taken by MH370 around Penang after the mysterious left or west turn at IGARO. This suggests that Captain Shah was at the controls, since the co-pilot, Fariq Abdul Hamid, 27, had his family home in Shah Alam, a city south of Penang closer to Kuala Lumpur. That is, Penang is about 290 km (180 mi) north of the Kuala Lumpur area, about a half hour's flight time by jet airliner. This in itself tells us nothing about Captain Shah's state of mind, whether he was suicidal or flying under duress at gunpoint. The deviation around Penang seems so precise and sharply purposeful that we can all but certainly rule out sheer coincidence.